Predictions for 2022

Werner Vogels, AWS CTO’s Tech Predictions for 2022

It’s this time of the year that brings us all predictions for the next year. Over on another channel I had some already, but let me collect more here.

Predictions for 2022

First here is an article from Werner Vogels, CTO of Amazon Web Services (AWS):

From the article

2022 will be an exciting year for technology, with it pushing all of us, and our planet, forward in the process

Werner Vogels on

To summarize @werner‘s predictions briefly, here are the 5 ideas for next year and beyond:

Prediction One: AI-supported software development takes hold

Github probably made the most noise when it introduced CoPilot, however, the market has been open before that. Products like Amazon DevOps Guru or CodeGuru and GPT-3 apparently supports this approach, too. While research criticizes the high error rate of the approach, the technology will improve. After all, it will accelerate development.

Prediction two: The everywhere cloud has an edge

Not only AWS has an offering to execute code on the distributed edge of the cloud in for of in form of Lambda@Edge. Also traditional edge players turn towards cloud capabilities. Akamai announced Edge Workers earlier this year. CloudFlare has Workers sind 2017. While the concept has been around and technically viable for much longer, all this increased activity indicate a commercial viability. That will attract more vendors.

Prediction three: The rise of smart spaces, especially in senior care

When the Internet of Things became popular in the middle of the ten years, Product Managers have been looking at this space already. The reason is simple: emotion is driving a huge willingness to buy. However, in most countries, this is a highly regulated market. Companies will push for their share, but the entry is difficult.

Prediction four: Sustainability gets its own architecture

Which is way overtime. Most will say the architecture is simple, less of the same. However, computing and storage used to be a scarce and expensive resource. Those in the age to remember a C64, an Amiga or even early PCs can relate. Software architecture had to cater for those limitations. Only with the advent of the cloud resources became virtually endless and affordable. Architecture out of a sudden didn’t have to consider technical limitations, which shows in modern stacks. In the future, architecture will follow sustainability constraints.

Prediction five: A new wave of connectivity will bring about a new class of applications

That’s a bold one. After Web 1.0, Web 2.0 and what many call Web 3.0, this is difficult. Low Earth orbit (LEO) satellites sure are a thing and there is no reason starlink wouldn’t be successful. Their approach is set to bring affordable broadband to every corner of the planet. Only: which problem – in scope of this prediction – does this solve? The world has places and societies that do need internet connectivity. Those areas are not a typical home for any of these projects that would require connectivity. And still then, that’d be known applications in remote areas.

Source: Tech Predictions for 2022 and Beyond

Amazon schaltet NSO ab

heise schreibt, dass Amazon NSOs, das ist der Hersteller der Pegasus Spyware, Infrastruktur abschaltet und deren Accounts löscht.

Nun bin ich sicher kein Freund von so fraglicher Software und ganz sicher kein Unterstützer der dazugehörigen Hersteller.

Allerdings ist an der Stelle auch ein anderes Problem deutlich: die Abhängigkeit unabhängiger Hersteller vom Wohlwollen von Cloud-Providern. Soweit ich die Berichterstattung übersehe ist der Vorgang durch die (berechtigte) Beschwerde von Medien und Aktivisten eingeitet worden. Weder bei Heise noch bei dem zitierten Artikel des Vice Magazin ist eine weitere Erklärung zu finden. Mindestens wäre ein Verstoß gegen “Acceptable Use Policies” in der Stellungnahme zu erwarten, oder besser ein Richterspruch.

So haben private Unternehmen die Rolle von Staaten übernommen, der global in der Digitalisierung immer noch um eine angemessene Rolle ringt.

Heise Artikel:

AWS announces CloudFront Functions

AWS Logo
AWS Logo

AWS announced general availability of “CloudFront Functions“. The product allows deploying lightweight functions on the edge of CloudFront’s CDN deployment, bringing logic close to the end user. After CloudFlare initiated a trend with their Workers, AWS is the third major cloud player to enter the space with this offering.

The purpose of such an architecture is to bring specific logic closer to the consumer, therefore delivering richer, more personalized content with lower latency. With a distribution across 225+ CloudFront edge locations in 90 cities across 47 countries the promise is huge.

To get developers kickstarted, AWS published a Github repo with examples. As one would expect, these are primarily revolving around http header manipulation and authentication. CloudFront Functions runs JavaScript.

Tableau CEO Selipsky to lead AWS

Selipsky has had major leadership roles in AWS for over 11 years before departing to Tableau as a CEO. At Tableau, Selipsky led the company through the acquisition by Salesforce in 2019, one of the largest acquisitions in history of enterprise software.

Amazon has hired former executive Adam Selipsky, CEO of Tableau, as CEO of AWS. Selipsky worked at AWS for 11 years, running sales, marketing and support.

From the article.

Source: TechTarget

168 AWS Services in 2 Minutes

Forrest Brazeal took a deep breath and sang 168 AWS Services. In two minutes. I’m not sure what’s more impressive. Mentioning all those in a song or the fact AWS offers so many (and more) distinct services.

Slack partners with Amazon

All of Amazon’s AWS employees will now use Slack

The market for collaboration tool has been sparked by Slack a few years ago. It has been subject to heavy fights since. Microsoft Teams not only entered the market but overtook the early mover quickly. The fight escalated perceivably when Slack accused Microsoft of ripping off its ads in late 2019.

AWS and Slack recently announced a partnership, indicating how hot the market apparently still is. With these two heavyweights in the ring, expect some movement in the space.

Source: The Verge

Amazon CloudFront Edge Locations

Amazon CloudFront launches new Edge Locations
AWS Logo

Amazon CloudFront Edge Locations: AWS’ Amazon CloudFront launches 5 new CloudFront Edge Locations. These are located in Bulgaria, Greece, Hungary, Kenya, and Romania.

AWS CloudFront is a Content Delivery Network and helps webpages to distribute their content globally. To achieve this, CDN’s leverage managed reverse proxy servers. The goal is to bring content closer to the consumer. And through keeping bulky media distributed, it prevents congesting internet connections.

These added deployments will help AWS customers and their consumers experience significantly improved page load times. AWS has constantly expanded CloudFront’s Network footprint since its launch in 2008. With this recent update, CloudFront now has 216 points of presence in 84 cities across 42 countries. 

Source: aws blog.

2020: The year of ARM?

Rumors, that Apple would switch to ARM for their computers have been floating around for a while. MacWorld just recently reaffirmed these with Annual ARM predictions.

Another important product that was announced at this years Re:Invent, AWS has ARM servers in their cloud portfolio. The Graviton2 is a custom-built 64bit processor available for EC2 workloads.

A clear signal ARM becomes ready for primetime.

How big is the cloud?

It sound’s odd and definitely wrong. At 43.000 participants in 2018 at a registration fee of $1.799, that’d be $77.357.000 of revenue, which is hard to believe Oracle and IBM together cannot top. Still, it’s s still a totally fascinating thought about size of cloud and how dominant AWS is in that business.